Updated Tuesday Apr. 7

2026 NBA Team Win Projections

NBA team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

RankingsSoSWinsPlayoffsChamps
TEAM GURU
RANK		 PRESEASON
PROJECTION		 CURRENT
PROJECTION		 CHANGE
1
ThunderOKC62-16
1st 59.8 65.0
+ 5.2
2
SpursSA60-19
2nd 42.4 62.4
+ 20
3
PistonsDET57-22
3rd 44.3 59.2
+ 14.9
4
CelticsBOS53-25
4th 40.7 55.7
+ 15
5
KnicksNY51-28
5th 51.5 52.8
+ 1.3
6
NuggetsDEN51-28
6th 51.5 52.5
+ 1
7
LakersLAL50-28
12th 48.0 52.1
+ 4.1
8
CavaliersCLE50-29
7th 55.8 52.1
- 3.7
9
RocketsHOU49-29
9th 50.9 51.6
+ 0.7
10
TimberwolvesMIN46-32
11th 47.9 48.5
+ 0.6
11
HawksATL45-34
10th 47.5 46.4
- 1.1
12
RaptorsTOR43-35
13th 38.3 45.3
+ 7
13
SunsPHX43-35
15th 32.0 44.9
+ 12.9
14
76ersPHI43-36
18th 43.7 44.7
+ 1
15
HornetsCHA43-36
8th 28.5 44.3
+ 15.8
16
MagicORL43-36
17th 48.8 44.3
- 4.5
17
HeatMIA41-37
16th 37.8 43.2
+ 5.4
18
ClippersLAC40-38
14th 48.7 42.2
- 6.5
19
Trail BlazersPOR40-39
20th 34.4 41.5
+ 7.1
20
WarriorsGS36-42
19th 46.4 38.4
- 8
21
BucksMIL31-47
23rd 43.3 32.7
- 10.6
22
BullsCHI29-49
22nd 32.8 31.2
- 1.6
23
PelicansNO25-54
21st 32.2 26.2
- 6
24
MavericksDAL25-53
24th 41.3 26.2
- 15.1
25
GrizzliesMEM25-54
25th 41.6 25.9
- 15.7
26
JazzUTAH21-58
28th 21.7 21.9
+ 0.2
27
KingsSAC21-58
27th 35.6 21.7
- 13.9
28
NetsBKN19-59
29th 23.0 20.4
- 2.6
29
PacersIND18-60
26th 38.0 19.3
- 18.7
30
WizardsWSH17-61
30th 22.5 17.9
- 4.6

How We Calculate: Our NBA win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from Team Rankings and ESPN. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.